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Homes.org Published Mortgage Rates Update – How Low Will Rates Go?

The new Homes.org weekly mortgage rate report analyzes the most important economic news effecting interest rates over the last seven days. Last week rates fell very slightly to new record lows, as the economic outlook remained unchanged. This week 30-year fixed rate and 15-year fixed rate mortgages dropped by 3 basis point.

Current mortgage interest rates are:

3.75% - average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage

3.01% - average rate for a 15-year fixed rate mortgage

Little changed in the U.S. and European economies last week, which was reflected in mortgage interest rates that were relatively unchanged. Last week’s news and reports also held few surprises as was indicated in Fed Chairman Bernanke’s testimony to Congress.

Several important economic reports were released this week. Below is an overview of this week's most important economic activity.

Wednesday: June New Home Sales report

Thursday: June Durable Goods Orders

Friday: 2nd Quarter GDP reading

The most influential report out this week is most certainly the Second Quarter GDP reading. The GDP is a gauge of the overall health of the economy and whether growth or retraction can be expected in the months to come. At a growth rate of 1.5% the GDP is better than analysts expected, however, it is down from 2% growth in the first quarter.

Durable Goods Orders, which is a measure of the how the manufacturing sector is preforming, were also higher than expected. Orders were up 1.6% from May and mainly driven by purchases of defense equipment and airplanes.

After making gains in April and May, new home sales declined in June by 8.4%. The silver lining is that despite the decline sales are still up 15.1% compared to the same time last year.

Though the GDP is up higher than expected, it is down compared to the first quarter. The European economy is no better off this week than it was last week. Given these two factors the Homes.org mortgage team is predicting that rates will either hold steady or possibly drop a point or two next week.

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